Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 14.923638 17.425751 20.151419 23.332462 26.933940 30.875652 35.506643
2025-03-09 10.497468 13.857828 17.901625 23.083068 29.498244 37.129618 46.838678
2025-03-16 7.423382 10.872694 15.381947 21.613006 29.889786 40.384683 54.556817
2025-03-23 6.141201 9.790692 14.890085 22.367300 32.850914 46.798894 66.483533
2025-03-30 5.293967 9.092763 14.716311 23.389112 36.111153 53.720625 79.479042
2025-04-06 4.272090 7.909577 13.612842 22.853878 37.012205 57.360122 88.141445
2025-04-13 3.356055 6.701034 12.253861 21.695841 36.780276 59.246324 94.320963
2025-04-20 3.048361 6.462644 12.390224 22.852378 40.108707 66.510021 108.711133
2025-04-27 2.838782 6.357552 12.719572 24.329477 44.027511 74.883604 125.227038
2025-05-04 2.505332 5.951392 12.456990 24.752823 46.236879 80.719238 138.172715
2025-05-11 2.155074 5.442002 11.928462 24.631917 47.492010 85.080515 149.020017
2025-05-18 1.836390 4.933803 11.324290 24.288599 48.301802 88.724531 158.872926
2025-05-25 1.554318 4.469042 10.779036 24.070830 49.453283 93.244304 170.832737
2025-06-01 1.309697 4.040673 10.252168 23.844543 50.606013 97.916024 183.471775
2025-06-08 1.013016 3.401488 9.161255 22.338245 49.211857 98.061777 188.474141
2025-06-15 0.916137 3.267406 9.175495 23.115154 52.239288 106.192158 207.624762
2025-06-22 0.846252 3.191997 9.313174 24.166255 55.881889 115.640119 229.564421
2025-06-29 0.702467 2.854983 8.758486 23.615847 56.244025 119.070634 240.989814
2025-07-06 0.555277 2.457014 7.972271 22.424721 55.154374 119.678749 247.312697
2025-07-13 0.523963 2.440856 8.188694 23.614314 59.181958 130.267928 272.445956
2025-07-20 0.505958 2.467894 8.527229 25.133278 64.028702 142.695792 301.551097
2025-07-27 0.452888 2.347970 8.432416 25.568553 66.528814 150.649396 322.614966
2025-08-03 0.390202 2.168329 8.131698 25.444244 67.763372 156.144919 339.257664